基于雨洪法的中型水库设计洪水复核与防洪能力验证

    Review and Verification of Design Flood and Flood Control Capacity for Medium-sized Reservoirs Based on the Rainfall-Runoff Method

    • 摘要: 为解决岩溶地区中型水库设计洪水复核中水文序列短、参数取值粗、工程验证弱等问题, 以贵州省遵义市播州区上水水库为例, 基于1960-2020年共61 a暴雨资料, 结合泉点水位, 优化雨洪法参数, 构建"暴雨频率分析-调洪演算-坝体安全复核"一体化复核体系。结果表明: 延长暴雨序列后, 极端暴雨95%置信区间宽度从±8%缩窄至±3%;汇流系数由初设的0.32修正为0.335后, 校核洪水下溢洪道最大泄流量为305 m3/s, 坝顶安全超高为0.743 m; 帷幕灌浆后, 坝基透水率从12 Lu降至1.8 Lu, 坝肩稳定安全系数较初设提升9.6%。

       

      Abstract: To solve problems such as short hydrological series, coarse parameterization, and insufficient engineering validation in design flood review for medium-sized reservoirs in Karst regions, it takes the Shangshui Reservoir in Bozhou District in Zunyi City of Guizhou Province as a case. Based on 61-year long-term rainfall data (1960-2020) and spring water level observations, it optimized parameters of the rainfall-runoff method and established an integrated review framework encompassing the rainstorm frequency analysis, the flood routing calculation, and the dam safety review. Results indicate that extending the rainfall series narrowed the 95% confidence interval of extreme rainfall from ±8% to ±3%. The confluence coefficient was revised from the initial design value of 0.32 to 0.335; under the check flood condition, the maximum spillway discharge reached 305m3/s, with a dam crest freeboard of 0.743m. After curtain grouting, the dam foundation permeability decreased from 12 Lu to 1.8 Lu, and the dam abutment stability safety factor increased by 9.6% compared to the initial design.

       

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